NOTE: Red highlighted states are ones carried by the Republican party.
Bold rows indicate states where the shortfall of registered voters from the trend
was greater than the margin of victory in that state for either party.

State	Registered of estimated (percent)	Estimation error (thousands)	Republican margin (thousands)
New Mexico	93.64	-62.2	-65.57
Hawaii	94.51	-30.8	-138.04
North Carolina	94.94	-276.8	173.31
South Dakota	95.62	-20.0	110.26
West Virginia	96.43	-33.8	300.58
Georgia	96.66	-169.2	211.14
Iowa	96.71	-56.4	147.31
Michigan	96.77	-181.4	10.7
Rhode Island	96.83	-17.6	-71.98
Mississippi	97.05	-52.4	215.58
Alaska	97.18	-10.4	46.93
New Hampshire	97.3	-21.2	-2.74
Connecticut	97.3	-49.0	-224.36
Kentucky	97.64	-54.4	574.12
New Jersey	97.72	-97.0	-546.35
Arizona	97.95	-65.8	91.23
Minnesota	98.05	-60.6	-44.77
Missouri	98.21	-60.6	523.44
Idaho	98.41	-12.8	219.29
South Carolina	98.47	-40.0	300.02
Vermont	98.48	-5.4	-83.2
Tennessee	98.49	-49.8	652.23
Florida	98.51	-145.4	112.91
Kansas	98.52	-21.6	244.01
Ohio	98.57	-88.6	446.84
Massachusetts	98.67	-49.4	-904.3
Oregon	98.85	-25.0	-219.7
Virginia	98.85	-51.0	-212.03
Delaware	98.86	-5.6	-50.48
Pennsylvania	98.92	-75.2	44.29
Louisiana	98.96	-25.6	398.48
UNITED STATES	99.01	-1,578.8	-2,833.22
Wisconsin	99.31	-23.0	22.75
Alabama	99.32	-17.4	588.71
Nevada	99.46	-7.4	-27.2
Arkansas	99.56	-6.4	304.38
California	99.57	-68.8	-4,269.98
Indiana	99.7	-9.8	524.16
Oklahoma	99.9	-1.8	528.76
Montana	100.03	0.2	101.53
New York	100.22	19.8	-1,701.12
Colorado	100.23	6.6	-136.39
Illinois	100.73	48.0	-944.71
Maryland	100.8	24.6	-734.76
Texas	101.31	151.2	807.18
Washington	101.55	59.8	-520.97
Maine	101.74	14.2	-22.14
District of Columbia	101.99	8.2	-270.11
Wyoming	102.84	8.4	118.45
Nebraska	102.86	28.0	211.47
North Dakota	104.54	18.4	123.04
Utah	106.34	83.4	204.56